Sunday, June 10, 2012

Spanish bailout news points us towards a strong open for energy related stocks tomorrow.  Crude futures are already up 2.2% as I write this Sunday evening.  The RSI divergences I pointed out in the last post are also showing up in some of the big energy ETFs like XLE, IEO, OIH.

Take a look at IEO...


As you can see, IEO made a lower low in price but the RSI did not confirm the new low as it made a higher low.

What's it mean?

Downward momentum for IEO is losing steam and a reversal to the upside should be coming our way soon.  What's more, as long as the Spanish bailout goes through, I think now's a great time to add some undervalued energy names to a portfolio.  I added APA last Thursday and Friday and I remain long GPOR, NOG from last month.  I'm on the lookout for more trades and you'll see them posted soon!

UPDATE June 11th: Traders used the strong opening as a selling opportunity.  Oil dropped 5 points from the pre-market high to the close, a huge down day by anyone's standards.  Today's price action was abysmal across the board and I think lower prices for oil and the S&P 500 are now in the cards.  I will be a seller of $APA if we get downside continuation tomorrow. 


UPDATE June 14th:  Choppy action for the broad market this week.  However, APA is screaming today after a bullish operations update this morning.  I remain long APA from $83.50.

NOG and GPOR are hanging in there today but both stocks are still stuck in a brutal downtrend.  My position size in NOG and  GPOR is relatively small so I am willing to take some heat on these stocks.  Both stocks offer considerable value in the US onshore oil E&P space.